{"id":12432,"date":"2020-05-20T10:38:15","date_gmt":"2020-05-20T08:38:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/?p=12432"},"modified":"2025-09-17T09:05:01","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T07:05:01","slug":"gissningar-och-sannolikheter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/2020\/05\/gissningar-och-sannolikheter\/","title":{"rendered":"Gissningar och sannolikheter"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Vilka f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar kommer krisen att medf\u00f6ra? Till\u00e5t mig spekulera.<\/p>\n

Efterfr\u00e5gan \u00e4r stor p\u00e5 scenarier om vad som h\u00e4nder efter krisen. Hur p\u00e5verkas v\u00e5ra arbetss\u00e4tt? Hur p\u00e5verkas v\u00e5rt resande? Hur p\u00e5verkas v\u00e5ra kommande investeringar? Hur p\u00e5verkas EU?<\/p>\n

Fr\u00e5gorna kan g\u00f6ras hur m\u00e5nga som helst \u2013 svaren \u00e4r l\u00e5ngt ifr\u00e5n givna.<\/p>\n

Jag medverkade \u2013 digitalt \u2013 p\u00e5 en \u00f6vning, d\u00e4r jag uppmanades att spekulera och resonera lite i vad framtiden kan medf\u00f6ra. Min sista bild inneh\u00f6ll n\u00e5gra p\u00e5st\u00e5enden:<\/p>\n

– Urbaniseringen minskar och byggandet kommer att minska
\n– Satsningarna i \u201dgr\u00f6n teknik\u201d kommer att \u00f6ka
\n– Det internationella resandet kommer att minska
\n– Det nationella resandet kommer att minska
\n– Det regionala resandet kommer att minska
\n– Behovet av ett nytt ledarskap kommer att \u00f6ka<\/p>\n

Jag gjorde ocks\u00e5 en bed\u00f6mning av hur sannolika dessa \u00e4r \u2013 dessa har jag lagt in sist i bloggen. Men fundera sj\u00e4lv? Vad \u00e4r din bed\u00f6mning? Och f\u00f6rs\u00f6k att se till hela samh\u00e4llets utveckling.<\/p>\n

Beroende p\u00e5 hur stora f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringarna blir kommer det ocks\u00e5 att rita om andra kartor och leda till stora konsekvenser i investeringar, f\u00f6retagande och samh\u00e4llsstrukturer.<\/p>\n

Jag vet inte svaret. Men jag tror vi g\u00f6r klokt i att fundera p\u00e5 vilka sn\u00f6bollar som \u00e4r i rullning. Vilka fj\u00e4rilsvingar som sl\u00e5r. Och om vi tror p\u00e5 kaosteorierna i \u201dFj\u00e4rilseffekten<\/a>\u201d, kan \u00e4ven sm\u00e5 f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar f\u00e5 stora konsekvenser.
\n*
\nPrecis som de senaste helgerna \u00e4r det mesta oklart, \u00e4ven om en hel del \u00e4r sannolikt, den h\u00e4r helgen. H\u00f6gst sannolikt \u00e4r att det blir matlagning, promenader och samtal.<\/p>\n

Trevlig helg!
\n*
\n(Min gissning p\u00e5 p\u00e5 sannolikheten ovan: 20%, 80%, 50%, 40%, 60%, 80%)<\/p>\n

\/Magnus H\u00f6ij, f\u00f6rbundsdirekt\u00f6r<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vilka f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar kommer krisen att medf\u00f6ra? Till\u00e5t mig spekulera. Efterfr\u00e5gan \u00e4r stor p\u00e5 scenarier om vad som h\u00e4nder efter krisen. Hur p\u00e5verkas v\u00e5ra arbetss\u00e4tt? Hur p\u00e5verkas v\u00e5rt resande? Hur p\u00e5verkas v\u00e5ra kommande investeringar? Hur p\u00e5verkas …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":12433,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"article_type":[39],"agreement":[],"for-members":[],"class_list":["post-12432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fredagsblogg","type-blogginlagg"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGissningar och sannolikheter - Innovations\u00adf\u00f6retagen<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/2020\/05\/gissningar-och-sannolikheter\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gissningar och sannolikheter - Innovations\u00adf\u00f6retagen\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Vilka f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar kommer krisen att medf\u00f6ra? 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