{"id":27298,"date":"2025-04-04T05:02:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-04T03:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/?p=27298"},"modified":"2025-09-30T15:52:25","modified_gmt":"2025-09-30T13:52:25","slug":"ny-makroekonomiska-laget","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/2025\/04\/ny-makroekonomiska-laget\/","title":{"rendered":"Makroekonomiska l\u00e4get: Svensk \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning p\u00e5 g\u00e5ng \u2013 innovationssektorn p\u00e5verkas fortsatt av l\u00e5gkonjunkturen\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

Innovationsf\u00f6retagen lanserar en ny \u00e5terkommande makroekonomisk \u00f6versikt som tar tempen p\u00e5 svensk ekonomi ur ett innovationsperspektiv. \u00d6versikten publiceras en g\u00e5ng per kvartal och ger en samlad bild av konjunkturl\u00e4get med s\u00e4rskilt fokus p\u00e5 faktorer som p\u00e5verkar innovationssektorn.<\/p>\n\n

 Den f\u00f6rsta utg\u00e5van visar att ekonomin l\u00e5ngsamt v\u00e4nder upp\u00e5t, men att \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen \u00e4r oj\u00e4mn \u2013 s\u00e4rskilt f\u00f6r tj\u00e4nstesektorn och arbetsmarknaden. 
 
\u2013 Det har v\u00e4nt, men \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen m\u00e4rks inte fullt ut i m\u00e4nniskors vardag. Priserna \u00e4r fortsatt h\u00f6ga och hush\u00e5llen \u00e4r pressade, s\u00e4ger Richard \u00d6sterberg, analyschef p\u00e5 Innovationsf\u00f6retagen. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6rsiktig tillv\u00e4xt \u2013 men hush\u00e5ll och tj\u00e4nstef\u00f6retag pressas<\/strong><\/strong> <\/h5>\n\n\n\n

Efter tre \u00e5r av l\u00e5gkonjunktur v\u00e4xte Sveriges BNP med 0,8 procent under fj\u00e4rde kvartalet 2024, och med 2,4 procent j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med samma kvartal \u00e5ret innan. \u00c5terh\u00e4mtningen drivs fr\u00e4mst av export och investeringar, men hush\u00e5llens konsumtion och tj\u00e4nstesektorn utvecklas fortsatt svagt. 
 
Det \u00e4r framf\u00f6r allt den l\u00e5ga konsumtionen som bromsar upp tj\u00e4nsteproduktionen. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Inflation och r\u00e4ntel\u00e4ge<\/strong><\/strong> <\/h5>\n\n\n\n

Inflationen har b\u00f6rjat stiga igen. KPIF l\u00e5g p\u00e5 2,9 procent i februari 2025. Riksbanken v\u00e4ntas inte g\u00f6ra ytterligare r\u00e4ntejusteringar under de kommande \u00e5ren. Enligt Riksbankens prognos ligger styrr\u00e4ntan fast p\u00e5 2,25 procent till 2028. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bygg och industri i olika riktning<\/strong><\/strong> <\/h5>\n\n\n\n

Bygg- och anl\u00e4ggningssektorn visar tecken p\u00e5 \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning, med f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttrade orderstocksomd\u00f6men och optimistiska anst\u00e4llningsplaner. Samtidigt pr\u00e4glas industrin av fortsatt l\u00e5g efterfr\u00e5gan och svaga tillv\u00e4xtf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar. En f\u00f6rsiktig \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntas under 2025 samtidigt som l\u00e5gkonjunkturen ser ut att best\u00e5 in i 2026. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Arbetsmarknaden fortsatt svag<\/strong><\/strong> <\/h5>\n\n\n\n

Syssels\u00e4ttningen i den privata tj\u00e4nstesektorn har minskat med \u00f6ver 34 000 personer p\u00e5 ett \u00e5r, en nedg\u00e5ng p\u00e5 1,3 procent. Den totala arbetsl\u00f6sheten uppg\u00e5r till 9,4 procent. Enligt Konjunkturinstitutets konjunkturbarometer bed\u00f6mer f\u00f6retag inom innovationssektorn att personalstyrkan kommer att vara of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrad eller minska under det kommande halv\u00e5ret. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2013 Vi ser att \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen tar fart, men arbetsmarknaden sl\u00e4par efter. Det dr\u00f6jer troligtvis innan vi ser verklig f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttring i syssels\u00e4ttningen, s\u00e4ger Richard \u00d6sterberg. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ny \u00f6versikt fr\u00e5n Innovationsf\u00f6retagen<\/strong><\/strong> <\/h5>\n\n\n\n

Makroekonomisk \u00f6versikt \u00e4r ett nytt format som kompletterar Innovationsf\u00f6retagens \u00f6vriga rapporter, s\u00e5som Investeringssignalen<\/a>, Insikt<\/a> och Branschrapporten<\/a>. Syftet \u00e4r att ge en l\u00e4ttillg\u00e4nglig och samlad bild av det ekonomiska l\u00e4get med s\u00e4rskilt fokus p\u00e5 innovationssektorn.\u00a0
\u00a0
Fokus ligger p\u00e5:\u00a0
<\/strong>– Ekonomisk tillv\u00e4xt\u00a0
– Inflation och r\u00e4ntor\u00a0
– Arbetsmarknad och syssels\u00e4ttning\u00a0
– Branschspecifika konjunkturindikatorer\u00a0
\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\nLadda ner Makroekonomiska L\u00e4get Q1 2025 h\u00e4r<\/a>Ladda ner<\/a>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

 Den f\u00f6rsta utg\u00e5van visar att ekonomin l\u00e5ngsamt v\u00e4nder upp\u00e5t, men att \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen \u00e4r oj\u00e4mn \u2013 s\u00e4rskilt f\u00f6r tj\u00e4nstesektorn och arbetsmarknaden.  \u2013 Det har v\u00e4nt, men \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen m\u00e4rks inte fullt ut i m\u00e4nniskors vardag. Priserna \u00e4r fortsatt …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":127,"featured_media":27396,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[419],"tags":[],"article_type":[73,74],"agreement":[],"for-members":[],"class_list":["post-27298","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-makroekonomiska-laget","type-nyheter","type-rapporter"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMakroekonomiska l\u00e4get: Svensk \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning p\u00e5 g\u00e5ng \u2013 innovationssektorn p\u00e5verkas fortsatt av l\u00e5gkonjunkturen\u00a0 - Innovations\u00adf\u00f6retagen<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/2025\/04\/ny-makroekonomiska-laget\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Makroekonomiska l\u00e4get: Svensk \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning p\u00e5 g\u00e5ng \u2013 innovationssektorn p\u00e5verkas fortsatt av l\u00e5gkonjunkturen\u00a0 - Innovations\u00adf\u00f6retagen\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\" Den f\u00f6rsta utg\u00e5van visar att ekonomin l\u00e5ngsamt v\u00e4nder upp\u00e5t, men att \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen \u00e4r oj\u00e4mn \u2013 s\u00e4rskilt f\u00f6r tj\u00e4nstesektorn och arbetsmarknaden.  \u2013 Det har v\u00e4nt, men \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen m\u00e4rks inte fullt ut i m\u00e4nniskors vardag. 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