{"id":30318,"date":"2025-12-19T13:59:34","date_gmt":"2025-12-19T12:59:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/?p=30318"},"modified":"2025-12-19T13:59:35","modified_gmt":"2025-12-19T12:59:35","slug":"makroekonomiska-laget-aterhamtning-tar-form-men-osakerheten-bestar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/2025\/12\/makroekonomiska-laget-aterhamtning-tar-form-men-osakerheten-bestar\/","title":{"rendered":"Makroekonomiska l\u00e4get: \u00c5terh\u00e4mtning tar form \u2013 men o&shy;s\u00e4kerheten best\u00e5r\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"intro\">Efter en svag start p\u00e5 \u00e5ret har svensk ekonomi g\u00e5tt in i en tydlig \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningsfas. Aktiviteten har \u00f6kat, BNP-tillv\u00e4xten har blivit n\u00e5got starkare \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat och barometerindikatorn visar f\u00f6r f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen sedan sommaren 2022 ett st\u00e4mningsl\u00e4ge som \u00e4r b\u00e4ttre \u00e4n normalt.  <\/p>\n\n<p>\u00c5terh\u00e4mtningen drivs i f\u00f6rsta hand av inhemsk efterfr\u00e5gan, st\u00e4rkt av expansiv finanspolitik, stigande inkomster och ett uppd\u00e4mt konsumtionsbehov hos hush\u00e5llen.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tj\u00e4nster bland de tydligaste dragloken i konjunkturen<br><\/strong>Tj\u00e4nstesektorn visar s\u00e4rskilt tydliga tecken p\u00e5 f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttring. Efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 b\u00e5de hush\u00e5llsn\u00e4ra tj\u00e4nster och f\u00f6retagstj\u00e4nster har \u00f6kat under h\u00f6sten, och syssels\u00e4ttningen i sektorn b\u00f6rjar \u00e5terigen stiga.&nbsp;&nbsp;\u00c4ven inom handeln \u00e4r konfidensl\u00e4get starkt, med \u00f6kande f\u00f6rs\u00e4ljningsvolymer och minskade lagerproblem. F\u00f6r innovationssektorn m\u00e4rks en tydligare \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning i efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 tekniska konsulter och arkitekttj\u00e4nster, med mer optimistiska framtidsutsikter \u00e4n tidigare.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2013&nbsp;Samma utveckling syns i Almegas&nbsp;tj\u00e4nsteindikator, som visar att produktionen inom kvalificerade konsulttj\u00e4nster inom juridik, ekonomi, vetenskap och teknik har \u00f6kat med 3,3 procent det senaste \u00e5ret. Det har skapat omkring 7 400 nya jobb i sektorn, varav n\u00e4ra 4 900 hos tekniska konsulter och arkitekter,&nbsp;s\u00e4ger Richard \u00d6sterberg, analyschef p\u00e5 Innovationsf\u00f6retagen.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Inflationen i balans \u2013 r\u00e4ntan ligger fast<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Inflationen har fallit tillbaka och den underliggande inflationen, KPIF, ligger nu n\u00e4ra Riksbankens m\u00e5l p\u00e5 2 procent. Riksbanken bed\u00f6mer att inflations- och konjunkturutvecklingen \u00e4r i linje med prognoserna och har d\u00e4rf\u00f6r l\u00e4mnat styrr\u00e4ntan of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrad p\u00e5 1,75 procent. R\u00e4nteniv\u00e5n bed\u00f6ms vara v\u00e4l avv\u00e4gd och v\u00e4ntas ligga kvar under st\u00f6rre delen av 2026, samtidigt som KPIF tillf\u00e4lligt kan komma att understiga m\u00e5let n\u00e4sta \u00e5r.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Svagheter kvarst\u00e5r i bygg, industri och arbetsmarknad<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Samtidigt \u00e4r bilden inte entydigt positiv. Byggsektorns konfidensindikator har f\u00f6rsvagats n\u00e5got efter en tidigare uppg\u00e5ng, och m\u00e5nga f\u00f6retag \u00e4r fortsatt missn\u00f6jda med orderstockens storlek. Industrin befinner sig i ett svagt konjunkturl\u00e4ge med d\u00e4mpad efterfr\u00e5gan, s\u00e4rskilt fr\u00e5n exportmarknaderna, \u00e4ven om det finns f\u00f6ruts\u00e4ttningar f\u00f6r en gradvis \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning under 2026. Arbetsmarknaden \u00e4r fortsatt svag, med en arbetsl\u00f6shet runt 8 procent, men syssels\u00e4ttningen \u00f6kar inom delar av tj\u00e4nstesektorn och prognoserna pekar mot en f\u00f6rsiktig f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttring n\u00e4sta \u00e5r.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>F\u00f6rsiktig optimism i en os\u00e4ker omv\u00e4rld<\/strong>\u00a0<br>Sammantaget visar den senaste genomg\u00e5ngen av det makroekonomiska l\u00e4get att \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen i svensk ekonomi har p\u00e5b\u00f6rjats, med s\u00e4rskilt st\u00f6d fr\u00e5n tj\u00e4nster och inhemsk efterfr\u00e5gan. Samtidigt pr\u00e4glas omv\u00e4rlden av fortsatt os\u00e4kerhet, vilket talar f\u00f6r en gradvis och f\u00f6rsiktig utveckling \u00e4ven fram\u00f6ver.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<a id=\"wp-block-file--media-66dc5db8-3b44-4697-99a4-31cc6b916ef6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/app\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2025\/12\/Makroekonomiska-laget-Q4-2025.pdf\">Ladda ner rapporten Makroekonomiska l\u00e4get Q4 2025<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/app\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2025\/12\/Makroekonomiska-laget-Q4-2025.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-66dc5db8-3b44-4697-99a4-31cc6b916ef6\">Ladda ner<\/a>\n\n\n\n  \n    \n              <h5> Om Makroekonomiska l\u00e4get <\/h5>\n                    <p> <p>Makroekonomiska l\u00e4get Q4 \u00e4r den fj\u00e4rde rapporten i ordningen i ett nytt format som kompletterar Innovationsf\u00f6retagens \u00f6vriga rapporter, s\u00e5som Investeringssignalen, Insikt och Branschrapporten. Syftet \u00e4r att ge en l\u00e4ttillg\u00e4nglig och samlad bild av det ekonomiska l\u00e4get med s\u00e4rskilt fokus p\u00e5 innovationssektorn.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fokus ligger p\u00e5:<\/strong><br \/>\n\u2013 Ekonomisk tillv\u00e4xt<br \/>\n\u2013 Inflation och r\u00e4ntor<br \/>\n\u2013 Arbetsmarknad och syssels\u00e4ttning<br \/>\n\u2013 Branschspecifika konjunkturindikatorer<\/p>\n<\/p>\n          \n    \n          \n  \n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c5terh\u00e4mtningen drivs i f\u00f6rsta hand av inhemsk efterfr\u00e5gan, st\u00e4rkt av expansiv finanspolitik, stigande inkomster och ett uppd\u00e4mt konsumtionsbehov hos hush\u00e5llen.&nbsp; Tj\u00e4nster bland de tydligaste dragloken i konjunkturenTj\u00e4nstesektorn visar s\u00e4rskilt tydliga tecken p\u00e5 f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttring. Efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21959,"featured_media":30320,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[419],"tags":[],"article_type":[73],"agreement":[],"for-members":[],"class_list":["post-30318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-makroekonomiska-laget","type-nyheter"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Makroekonomiska l\u00e4get: \u00c5terh\u00e4mtning tar form \u2013 men os\u00e4kerheten best\u00e5r\u00a0 - Innovations\u00adf\u00f6retagen<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/2025\/12\/makroekonomiska-laget-aterhamtning-tar-form-men-osakerheten-bestar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Makroekonomiska l\u00e4get: \u00c5terh\u00e4mtning tar form \u2013 men os\u00e4kerheten best\u00e5r\u00a0 - Innovations\u00adf\u00f6retagen\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00c5terh\u00e4mtningen drivs i f\u00f6rsta hand av inhemsk efterfr\u00e5gan, st\u00e4rkt av expansiv finanspolitik, stigande inkomster och ett uppd\u00e4mt konsumtionsbehov hos hush\u00e5llen.&nbsp; Tj\u00e4nster bland de tydligaste dragloken i konjunkturenTj\u00e4nstesektorn visar s\u00e4rskilt tydliga tecken p\u00e5 f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttring. Efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 &hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/2025\/12\/makroekonomiska-laget-aterhamtning-tar-form-men-osakerheten-bestar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Innovations\u00adf\u00f6retagen\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/innovationsforetagen\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-12-19T12:59:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-19T12:59:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/app\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2025\/12\/Makroekonomiska-laget-Q4.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1080\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Victoria M\u00e5nsson\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@innovationsftg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@innovationsftg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Skriven av\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Victoria M\u00e5nsson\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minuter\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Makroekonomiska l\u00e4get: \u00c5terh\u00e4mtning tar form \u2013 men os\u00e4kerheten best\u00e5r\u00a0 - Innovations\u00adf\u00f6retagen","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/2025\/12\/makroekonomiska-laget-aterhamtning-tar-form-men-osakerheten-bestar\/","og_locale":"sv_SE","og_type":"article","og_title":"Makroekonomiska l\u00e4get: \u00c5terh\u00e4mtning tar form \u2013 men os\u00e4kerheten best\u00e5r\u00a0 - Innovations\u00adf\u00f6retagen","og_description":"\u00c5terh\u00e4mtningen drivs i f\u00f6rsta hand av inhemsk efterfr\u00e5gan, st\u00e4rkt av expansiv finanspolitik, stigande inkomster och ett uppd\u00e4mt konsumtionsbehov hos hush\u00e5llen.&nbsp; Tj\u00e4nster bland de tydligaste dragloken i konjunkturenTj\u00e4nstesektorn visar s\u00e4rskilt tydliga tecken p\u00e5 f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttring. Efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 &hellip;","og_url":"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/2025\/12\/makroekonomiska-laget-aterhamtning-tar-form-men-osakerheten-bestar\/","og_site_name":"Innovations\u00adf\u00f6retagen","article_publisher":"https:\/\/facebook.com\/innovationsforetagen","article_published_time":"2025-12-19T12:59:34+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-12-19T12:59:35+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":1080,"url":"https:\/\/www.innovationsforetagen.se\/app\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2025\/12\/Makroekonomiska-laget-Q4.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Victoria M\u00e5nsson","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@innovationsftg","twitter_site":"@innovationsftg","twitter_misc":{"Skriven av":"Victoria M\u00e5nsson","Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid":"2 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